Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 52.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 19.9% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year.
The matchup against the Warriors is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (7.5).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decreases player production in all facets of the game.