Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/16/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Feb 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+128/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league playing at home this year.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.
Jaden McDaniels will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup against Kyle Kuzma is a challenging one for three-pointers; when Kuzma is on the visiting team and facing opposing starting SFs this year, they have made a lowly 31.9% of their shots from downtown (17th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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