Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 47.5% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 11.4% more than he's converted from three in all games this season.
Jaden McDaniels has attempted 4.6 treys per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Jaden McDaniels has played a terrific 30.0 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 24.9 minutes per game last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The matchup against Dorian Finney-Smith is a tough one for three-pointers; when facing fellow starting SFs this year, they have finished with a mere 1.6 treys per game (3rd percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance across the board.