Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+142/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -178 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -184.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has converted 46.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Jaden McDaniels has averaged 30.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a strong one for threes; opposing clubs have shot for the 9th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (34.9%).
Jaden McDaniels will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Jazz have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year on their home court (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season without the home court advantage, which should decrease plays for the Jazz.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the least three-pointers per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.0).

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