Jaden McDaniels Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 2.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
The Pistons have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile).
The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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