Jaden McDaniels Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-195).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
Jaden McDaniels stands to get a boost in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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