Jaden McDaniels Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+190/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.0 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels is expected to see an increase in productivity in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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