Jaden McDaniels Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Jaden McDaniels

NBA · Player Props

Jaden McDaniels

F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaden McDaniels Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 30.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Warriors have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Without the home court advantage, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden McDaniels will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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