Jaden Hardy Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-159/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Knicks).
When playing away from home, the Knicks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden Hardy will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has compiled 0.3 offensive boards per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 25th percentile.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the league as the home team with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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