Jaden Hardy Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2023

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 1, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 10:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-152/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -149 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has tallied 23.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has averaged 0.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 10th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden Hardy will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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