Jaden Hardy Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (24th percentile).
The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has tallied 0.1 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 2nd percentile.
Jaden Hardy has played 12.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the least-used players in the NBA: 19th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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