Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2026

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 28, 2026

Updated Jan 29, 2026 1:33 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has scored 11.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's scored over the course of the year.
With respect to shooting, the Mavericks's outstanding 49.8% field goal rate ranks strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the league while at home with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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