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Jaden Hardy Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been terrific at getting to the foul line of late: 4th-best in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home with 27.9 free throws per game.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

More Jaden Hardy Player Props

Jaden Hardy PointsPlayer Prop - 12/23/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Jaden Hardy Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2025