Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has successfully made 55.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 11.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from his home court.
Jaden Hardy has converted 43.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 10.9% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year when playing on the road.
With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 115.4 points per game as the visting team ranks 10th-best in the NBA this year.
The 5th-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Favors Under

The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while on the road with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Jaden Hardy will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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