Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has converted 41.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 9.2% more than he's made from three overall this year.
The 6th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 24.1 free throw attempts per game settles in as the 5th-best in the league over the last 10 games.
Jaden Hardy will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jaden Hardy places in the 22nd percentile for field goal performance with a subpar 39.2% rate this year.
The Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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