Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 1:50 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has converted 43.5% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 13.5% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season when playing away from home.
The Mavericks have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league on the road this year.
The 7th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to more plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Jaden Hardy has sunk 52.1% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 17.9% less than he's sunk in all games this season.
Jaden Hardy will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

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