Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has successfully made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 19.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
The Mavericks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the league on the road with a mere 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jaden Hardy has failed to make 1.2 free throw attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's missed over the course of the year.
Jaden Hardy will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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