Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 12:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Hawks have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 9th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6).
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has scored 5.4 points per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 24th percentile.
Jaden Hardy has made 17.4% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jaden Hardy has averaged 15.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 21st percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the league.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league while playing away from home this year.

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