Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (25th percentile).
The Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year (the Thunder).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden Hardy has made a whopping 100.0% of his foul shots this year, significantly more than his 71.1 rate last year.

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has sunk 19.3% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.
Jaden Hardy has been on the court for 15.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 22nd percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe as the away team: 5th-worst in the league this year with a mere 19.8 foul shots per game.
Jaden Hardy is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

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