Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 5/28/2024

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 28, 2024

Updated May 29, 2024 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of scoring, the Mavericks's superb 116.2 points per game comes in as the 9th-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for threes; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.6).
Jaden Hardy will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden Hardy lands in the 16th percentile for field goal proficiency with a feeble 37.1% rate this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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