Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2024

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 22, 2024

Updated May 23, 2024 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (23rd percentile).
The Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden Hardy has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.2% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home.

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has made 21.3% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.5% less than he's sunk overall this year.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been poor at getting to the foul line while playing on the road: 10th-worst in the NBA this year with a measly 20.7 free throw attempts per game.
Jaden Hardy will likely see a decline in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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