Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has attempted 6.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Jaden Hardy has played 22.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.2 more than he's played overall this year on the road.
The Mavericks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goals (15th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jaden Hardy has successfully made just 60.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 84.0 rate last year.

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