Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has been on the court for 21.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.
With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 118.1 points per game comes in as the 8th-most in the NBA this year.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have attempted 18.6 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has sunk just 36.4% of his shots from the field this season, significantly less than his 42.0 mark last season.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden Hardy has converted a measly 58.9% of his free throws this season, quite a bit lower than his 84.0 rate last season.
Jaden Hardy is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this game.

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