Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has attempted 6.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Jaden Hardy has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 25th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a good one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (51.5%).
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the league with only 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers (saving possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).
Jaden Hardy has successfully made a lowly 57.4% of his free throw attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 84.0 mark last season.

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