Jaden Hardy Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (24th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Mavericks.
Jaden Hardy has sunk 88.0% of his foul shots since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has sunk 39.3% of his field goal attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 24th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jaden Hardy has played 12.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the least-used players in the NBA: 19th percentile.
The matchup against San Antonio is a tough one for field goals; when the Spurs are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least field goals per game in the league this year (4.1).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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