Jaden Hardy Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 1:14 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (19th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year with respect to threes.
The 4th-quickest pace away offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have brought down 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jaden Hardy registers in the 20th percentile for playing time, posting a measly 13.2 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Houston is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are on their home court (3.0).
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league this year (the Rockets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Jaden Hardy ought to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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