Jaden Hardy Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 1:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.
While playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden Hardy will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player production for all stats.

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