Jaden Hardy Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaden Hardy ranks in the 7th percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 0.7 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).
Jaden Hardy will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has totaled a mere 0.5 assists per game this season, significantly less than his 0.8 assists per game last season.
Jaden Hardy has averaged 10.5 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA: 12th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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