Jaden Hardy Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Bulls have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden Hardy will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Jaden Hardy has averaged 0.6 assists per game at home this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile -- among the worst in the NBA in this category.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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