Jaden Hardy Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2023

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Jaden Hardy

NBA · Player Props

Jaden Hardy

Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 1, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaden Hardy Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-169/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -167 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -169.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaden Hardy has posted 3.2 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.4 higher than he's posted overall this season on the road.
Jaden Hardy has tallied 23.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaden Hardy will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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