Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 12:50 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 4.9 defensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard recently: 89th percentile.
Jabari Smith Jr. has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. will likely suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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