Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 8.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 1.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
Jabari Smith Jr. has played 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The 5th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Rockets.
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. places in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. will likely see a decline in productivity across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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