Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 2.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 31.2 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Jabari Smith Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.1 more than he's committed over the course of the season at home.
The Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

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