Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 1:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has posted 7.1 defensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the league's hottest by this metric in recent games: 96th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 31.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Rockets.
The Rockets will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Houston Rockets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.4 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Raptors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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