Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 7.9 defensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 14 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (retaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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