Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 11:58 PM UTC

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has compiled 8.9 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 29.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 77th percentile.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise plays for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets rank 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, the other team has secured 12.2 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (continuing possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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