Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has totaled 7.2 rebounds per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. is expected to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.5 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The most sluggish pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
While on their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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