Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New York Knicks · Mar 31, 2026

Updated Mar 31, 2026 11:54 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-116/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have shot 47.7% on threes (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Knicks, branding this as a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 15.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Knicks may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Houston Rockets's poor 109.9 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league over the last 25 games.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Rockets will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Knicks).

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