Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Mar 29, 2026

Updated Mar 29, 2026 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Rockets's lackluster 111.2 points per game comes in as the 4th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Pelicans are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 5th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.4).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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