Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets · Mar 23, 2026

Updated Mar 23, 2026 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-136/+126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Bulls).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 15.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.9 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Rockets's lackluster 110.0 points per game places 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 11.5 field goal attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, creating a difficult matchup.
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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