Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 13, 2026

Updated Mar 13, 2026 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-126/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, resulting in a good matchup.
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's feeble 109.6 points per game as the home team places 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.

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