Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 10, 2026

Updated Mar 10, 2026 11:40 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Raptors is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Rockets's poor 107.8 points per game on their home court ranks 2nd-worst in the league over the last 15 games.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Rockets will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Raptors).
Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Raptors, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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