Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets · Mar 8, 2026

Updated Mar 8, 2026 8:44 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Spurs).
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have compiled 13.0 points per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Spurs, making this a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

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