Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-107/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Warriors is a favorable one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.4).
The Warriors have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which ought to boost opportunities for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 15.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.

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