Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs LA Clippers · Feb 11, 2026

Updated Feb 12, 2026 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 15.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.1 free throws per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Rockets's unimpressive 109.0 points per game at home measures as the fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 27.2% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Clippers, creating a difficult matchup.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Clippers).

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