Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics · Feb 4, 2026

Updated Feb 5, 2026 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Rockets's unimpressive 108.5 points per game comes in as the 3rd-worst in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a difficult one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Rockets.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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