Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 31, 2026

Updated Feb 1, 2026 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the most shot attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).
The Rockets will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league this year (the Mavericks).
The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Rockets rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets.

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