Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets · Jan 29, 2026

Updated Jan 30, 2026 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 54.1% on shot attempts from the field (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Houston Rockets are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Houston Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Rockets have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.

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