Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 26, 2026

Updated Jan 27, 2026 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 6.5 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.6 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

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