Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 16, 2026

Updated Jan 17, 2026 2:18 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should boost plays for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 16.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting team (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Houston Rockets's feeble 103.0 points per game comes in as the weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.

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